Welcome to today’s MLB Projections, your guide to daily baseball betting. With the help of Derek Carty’s THE BAT We even have the hottest and coolest temperatures of the day.
Both Carty and Mock deploy complex statistics and projection models throughout the MLB season. Of course, the end goal of all this analysis is to improve your enjoyment of watching baseball, whether you’re poring over the odds all day long or just want more in-depth information on your favorite team’s game.
In the first set of data, Derek Carty Analysis of electric vehicles takes into account everything from the best odds value to the lines with the most movement. There are projected records for all 30 MLB teams, as well as odds for the playoffs and World Series.
Below, every weekday, you’ll find Austin Mock screenings, including “K Prop of the Day,” his “Beat the streak» choose and “Dinger of the day”. Brief explanations of each are included below.
All the probabilities you see come from PariMGM.
BAT X SCREENINGS
In the tables below, you’ll see the details of each MLB game, then numerous numbers (which are updated throughout the day): “Silver Line” shows the odds for each team on BetMGM. “implied % gain” is the chance a team has of winning based on these BetMGM odds. “THE BAT X wins %” is a team’s chance of winning based on EV Analytics projections. “Cash line” This is how THE BAT “Value” is the percentage difference between the odds and our projections.
Obviously, the higher the value percentage, the better – which you can easily see by the color coding from red (bad choice) to green (good choice).
Note: On mobile, you may need to scroll down to see the color-coded “Value” column on the far right of the first set of tables.
Another note: if you see old data, you may need to “hard refresh” this page.
The Austin Mock Model
K accessory of the day
- Trevor Rodgers over 4.5 (+125)
- The model says to expect: 4.6
- Generally: 6-7 -2.50 units, -15.2% ROI
Beat Streak’s Pick
(Current streak: 0; best season: 4)
- Bets on Mookie (72.8% chance of an achievement today)
Dinger of the day
(Note: It’s not so much about who will hit a home run, but rather who has good value for an HR bet based on the model versus the BetMGM odds)
- Michael Busch (+600)
- The model says the odds should be: +492
- Generally: 1-11, -4.50 units -37.5% ROI
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(Photo: G Fiume/Getty Images, Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images; Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images; Quinn Harris/Getty Images; design by Sean Reilly)